Sunday, October 5, 2008

2008-2009 Predicted Standings

Eastern Conference
  1. Montreal
  2. Washington
  3. NY Rangers
  4. Pittsburgh
  5. Buffalo
  6. Tampa Bay
  7. Boston
  8. Philadelphia
  9. Ottawa
  10. New Jersey
  11. Carolina
  12. Florida
  13. NY Islanders
  14. Atlanta
  15. Toronto
Western Conference
  1. Detroit
  2. San Jose
  3. Calgary
  4. Anaheim
  5. Dallas
  6. Colorado
  7. Chicago
  8. Edmonton
  9. Columbus
  10. Minnesota
  11. Phoenix
  12. St. Louis
  13. Nashville
  14. Vancouver
  15. Los Angeles
I won't go into too much detail about my methodology (highly scientific, much too complicated), but I will explain a few things.
  • I've been waiting a while for New Jersey's success to disintegrate, and clearly I'm pegging this as the year. In all likelihoods they'll sneak into the playoffs yet again, losing in the first round to a far, far superior team, but what little glimmer of hope I have that the Devils will fail is all I need.
  • Maybe it's because I've only ever predicted the playoffs, where goaltending is huge, but starting goalies were a pretty big factor in these picks. Ottawa and Columbus's skaters, for instance, are of vastly different quality, but vastly different qualities of goaltenders puts them both at 9th.
  • The possibility of trades was never considered with any team. Unless they're done early in the season, I don't believe they dramatically alter a team's position in the standings.
  • Personal biases were considered with pretty much every team. For instance, I claim goaltending is a huge factor, yet the only reason I put the Canucks as high as 14th is that the Kings are too disasterous to be anything but dead last. This is because I live in Vancouver.
Here's hoping the Bruins and Avs bump themselves up, and that someone bumps off both first place teams.

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